Reflections

25 June 2026 · Post

Heatwaves and Strategy

It’s hot here. For anyone reading outside the UK, the country broke its June temperature record yesterday, and today may go higher again....

7 May 2026 · Post

How AI Affects Publishing Depends on Existing Incentives

New Australian research frames AI training on creative work as a market failure. But economic analysis needs segmentation: AI may cause underproduction in literary publishing while driving overproduction in academic sectors where volume is rewarded.

30 April 2026 · Post

Prompter's Intent

Why GPT-5.5's prompting advice echoes 19th-century military doctrine: the shift from scripting tasks to creating conditions for delegated work to succeed.

29 April 2026 · Post

ECPA Conference Reflections

Reflections from the ECPA Leadership Summit on AI's impact on publishing. Bob Hutchins' proxy failure framework - how AI undermines trust in writing as a signal of thought and effort - connects to George Akerlof's market for lemons: when quality signals break down, adverse selection can collapse markets. The strategic question for publishers is whether they can credibly signal editorial judgement in ways that are costly for low-quality producers to fake.

23 April 2026 · Post

Gen X AI

Three patterns from a week of conversations about how people are actually using AI: capability levelling up, a Gen X sweet spot, and a fundamental shift in the viability of solo and small firms.

11 February 2026 · Post

IPG Spring Conference 2026

Sixteen observations from the IPG Spring Conference 2026: on leisure time, platform risk, AI in workflows, procedural debt, and what it means to think generationally in a structural market shift.

25 October 2025 · Post

Brooklyn Bridge Parkrun

I’m in New York with the family. We were up early for Brooklyn Bridge Parkrun—a very enjoyable, fast, flat course along the waterfront—fo...

10 April 2024 · Post

New Office

(Originally posted on LinkedIn): I’m coming up on four years of working as an independent consultant, and I’ve hit the limit on working f...

27 March 2021 · Post

Setbacks

On weathering professional setbacks and the importance of keeping sight of the overall direction of travel, rather than fixating on short-term reversals.